Prediction Facilitator – Early Access Offer
A fast-track, hands-on program to help your team improve decision-making, reduce uncertainty, and capture learning from real outcomes.
Problems We Solve
As a result, teams ship features, but fail to systematically improve how they make decisions.
Diffuse accountability
Decisions are made collectively, but ownership is unclear—no one is directly responsible for the outcome or its evaluation.
Lack of traceability
Teams cannot reconstruct why a decision was made—assumptions, reasoning, and context are lost over time.
Binary thinking
Decisions are treated as yes/no, rather than explicit bets with varying degrees of confidence and uncertainty.
Hidden risk exposure
Teams commit to initiatives without understanding likelihood of success, potential impact, or downside risk.
False alignment
Teams appear aligned, but individuals privately disagree—leading to weak commitment and poor execution.
No feedback loop
There is no systematic way to evaluate whether decisions were good, only whether outcomes happened.
What You Get
1. Team Access & Onboarding
- Sign up your team (up to 10 members)
- Quick onboarding and setup session
2. Decision Capture
- Submit key product or business decisions
- Define measurable outcomes (true/false, numeric, categorical)
- Track confidence and reasoning
3. Prediction & Learning Engine
- Automatically calculates calibration and Brier score
- Provides visual feedback on team accuracy
- Highlights trends and patterns for better future decisions
4. Integration & Ease of Use
- Slack integration for in-flow predictions
- Lightweight web app for tracking and reporting
5. Actionable Insights
- Learn which decisions your team bets on correctly
- Identify blind spots or biases
- Make smarter bets next cycle
What the Facilitator Does
Makes team make real predictions and connect them to truth
Helps with commitment and understanding of the tasks
Joins team ceremonies to capture the sentiment and important decisions
What You Will See After 2 Weeks
Team that understands predictions and commitments
Your team will adopt a more analytical mindset, clearly differentiating between assumptions and measurable commitments.
Report of the accuracy
Receive a detailed breakdown of your team's decision quality, highlighting areas of high confidence versus actual outcomes.
Why It Works
Measurable Predictions
Turns subjective guesses into measurable predictions that can be tracked and analyzed.
Faster Learning
Helps teams learn faster from outcomes by closing the feedback loop on decisions.
Data-Driven Strategy
Supports product and business strategy with data-driven insights rather than gut feeling.
Improve your team's accuracy and decision quality with measurable feedback.
How to Join
Reserve
Reserve your early access spot today to lock in the pilot pricing.
Schedule
Schedule your team's onboarding session with our facilitators.
Start
Start tracking your team’s decisions immediately and see results.
Limited Early Access Offer
Get two weeks of full access and facilitator support for a one-time fee of